Livingston vs Aberdeen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
42.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
5º
12º
12º
35
6º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
LIV
1 - 0
CLY
85%
12%
4%
|
68 | 39 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
COV
0 - 5
LIV
18%
21%
61%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
LIV
1 - 1
HAM
66%
21%
14%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
BRE
0 - 3
LIV
25%
23%
52%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
QUE
0 - 1
LIV
22%
23%
55%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 3
ABE
30%
24%
46%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
PNE
2 - 0
ABE
41%
26%
34%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
FRA
0 - 2
ABE
13%
19%
68%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
TUR
0 - 9
ABE
6%
15%
79%
|
74 | 23 | 51 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
CEL
5 - 0
ABE
69%
18%
13%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |