Liverpool vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
6.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LIV
3 - 1
WHU
72%
17%
11%
|
98 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
LAS
1 - 3
LIV
3%
10%
88%
|
98 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
WOL
1 - 3
LIV
8%
16%
77%
|
98 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
LIV
3 - 0
ASV
74%
17%
10%
|
97 | 90 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 2
LIV
17%
21%
62%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
LEI
1 - 0
BRI
70%
19%
11%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 2
LEI
20%
23%
58%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
SOU
1 - 4
LEI
30%
24%
46%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
LEI
0 - 1
HUL
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
TRA
0 - 2
LEI
3%
13%
85%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |