Liverpool vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
LIV
3 - 1
EVE
65%
21%
15%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2000 |
LIV
1 - 0
SLI
65%
21%
13%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2000 |
LIV
1 - 0
LEI
62%
21%
16%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
DER
0 - 4
LIV
34%
27%
39%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
CHL
3 - 0
LIV
56%
23%
21%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2000 |
CHL
3 - 0
TOT
67%
19%
13%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2000 |
CHL
6 - 1
COV
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2000 |
SUN
1 - 0
CHL
30%
28%
42%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
CHL
3 - 0
LIV
56%
23%
21%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2000 |
STG
2 - 0
CHL
27%
28%
45%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |