Liverpool vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
LIV
2 - 2
BHA
78%
15%
7%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
PNE
0 - 2
LIV
3%
11%
86%
|
93 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
MUD
0 - 5
LIV
27%
23%
50%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
ATM
2 - 3
LIV
28%
25%
47%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
WAT
0 - 5
LIV
8%
15%
78%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ATM
3 - 0
BET
49%
26%
26%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
LEV
2 - 2
ATM
21%
25%
54%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
ATM
2 - 2
RSO
46%
27%
27%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
ATM
2 - 3
LIV
28%
25%
47%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ATM
2 - 0
FCB
28%
25%
47%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | +1 |