Liverpool vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
12%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
NAP
4 - 1
LIV
18%
21%
60%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
EVE
0 - 0
LIV
8%
15%
77%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
LIV
2 - 1
NEW
80%
14%
6%
|
95 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
LIV
9 - 0
BOU
80%
14%
6%
|
95 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
MUD
2 - 1
LIV
14%
19%
67%
|
96 | 89 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
AJA
5 - 0
SCH
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
AJA
4 - 0
GLA
75%
15%
10%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
AJA
4 - 0
BVO
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
UTR
0 - 2
AJA
17%
21%
62%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
SPA
0 - 1
AJA
12%
18%
70%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |