Liverpool Montevideo vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
1º
1º
1º
11
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
16 | 16 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 12 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
11 | 11 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 5 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 4 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
CEL
1 - 3
LFC
27%
28%
46%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
ARG
2 - 1
LFC
50%
25%
24%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
LFC
3 - 2
RAC
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
LFC
1 - 0
IVT
48%
23%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
RIV
2 - 0
LFC
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
NAC
4 - 0
DEP
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 1
SCI
33%
28%
39%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
CER
1 - 1
NAC
22%
27%
51%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
IND
2 - 1
NAC
39%
27%
34%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
TOR
0 - 4
NAC
27%
27%
46%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |