Lisse vs Dordrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
75.3%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
QUI
3 - 0
LIS
77%
15%
8%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
LIS
1 - 3
SPA
14%
18%
68%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
KOZ
2 - 0
LIS
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
LIS
1 - 3
NOO
38%
24%
38%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ALM
1 - 1
LIS
49%
23%
28%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dordrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
FCD
5 - 1
BOS
61%
21%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
HEL
1 - 1
FCD
40%
26%
35%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
FCD
4 - 0
JON
28%
23%
49%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
FCD
5 - 2
BVO
21%
23%
55%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
EIN
1 - 1
FCD
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |