Linfield vs PSNI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.2%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.2%
3.5%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
LIN
3 - 0
DUN
83%
12%
4%
|
71 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
LAR
1 - 1
LIN
46%
26%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
WAR
0 - 3
LIN
15%
22%
63%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
LIN
4 - 0
CAR
77%
16%
7%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
LIN
1 - 1
CLI
55%
24%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
PSNI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
DOL
2 - 0
PSN
62%
20%
18%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
PSN
2 - 1
BAN
25%
23%
52%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
INS
4 - 3
PSN
58%
21%
22%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
BAN
2 - 1
PSN
77%
14%
9%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
PSN
1 - 3
NEY
46%
23%
31%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |