Linfield vs Pogon Szczecin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
38.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
VLZ
1 - 0
LIN
31%
25%
45%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
HAR
1 - 2
LIN
16%
19%
65%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
LIN
3 - 1
VLZ
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
LIN
1 - 0
KIL
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
LIN
0 - 1
STM
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Pogon Szczecin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
POG
2 - 3
HAL
78%
14%
8%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
WAR
0 - 1
POG
42%
27%
32%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
ROS
2 - 0
POG
22%
25%
53%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
WAR
0 - 3
POG
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
POG
2 - 1
SFC
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |