Lille vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
LIL
1 - 1
REI
58%
24%
18%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
CLE
0 - 2
LIL
22%
24%
54%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
NAP
1 - 4
LIL
74%
16%
10%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
BVO
0 - 2
LIL
17%
24%
59%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
LIL
2 - 0
VAD
56%
24%
21%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
STR
2 - 3
TRO
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
TRO
0 - 0
NAN
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
PFC
1 - 0
TRO
34%
25%
41%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
LEI
0 - 0
TRO
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
BRE
2 - 1
TRO
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |