Lille vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
MPL
0 - 0
LIL
31%
26%
43%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
LIL
3 - 0
REI
78%
15%
8%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
TFC
4 - 2
LIL
22%
26%
52%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
LIL
3 - 3
SOC
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 2
LIL
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
ASS
2 - 0
MAR
41%
27%
33%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
LOR
3 - 1
ASS
39%
27%
35%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
ASS
0 - 0
GIR
44%
26%
31%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
LYO
1 - 1
ASS
61%
22%
17%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
ASS
4 - 2
AJA
62%
21%
16%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |