Lille vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
40.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
LIL
4 - 0
LOR
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
BRE
3 - 2
LIL
16%
24%
59%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
ACM
0 - 3
LIL
67%
20%
14%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
LIL
1 - 1
LYO
34%
24%
42%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
LIL
2 - 2
CEL
35%
26%
40%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
NAP
1 - 3
ACM
47%
24%
28%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
ACM
2 - 2
VER
77%
16%
8%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
ACM
0 - 3
LIL
67%
20%
14%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
UDI
1 - 2
ACM
19%
24%
57%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
ACM
3 - 0
SPA
66%
20%
15%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |