Lille vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
11.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 Aug. 2017 |
STR
3 - 0
LIL
25%
29%
46%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
06 Aug. 2017 |
LIL
3 - 0
NAN
53%
26%
21%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
29 Jul. 2017 |
LIL
4 - 2
REN
49%
27%
24%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
26 Jul. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 0
LIL
66%
20%
15%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
22 Jul. 2017 |
OOS
0 - 0
LIL
48%
26%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 Aug. 2017 |
CAE
0 - 1
ASS
25%
28%
47%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
05 Aug. 2017 |
MPL
1 - 0
CAE
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
29 Jul. 2017 |
CAE
0 - 1
ANG
28%
25%
46%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
22 Jul. 2017 |
CAE
1 - 2
REN
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
19 Jul. 2017 |
CAE
2 - 1
LOR
29%
24%
48%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |