Lille vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
NAN
0 - 1
LIL
21%
25%
54%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
MPL
0 - 1
LIL
32%
27%
41%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
LIL
3 - 0
AJA
72%
17%
11%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
LYO
0 - 0
LIL
46%
25%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
LIL
3 - 0
ETG
67%
19%
14%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
TRO
2 - 0
AUX
53%
25%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
AUX
1 - 1
LUS
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
AUX
2 - 0
STL
70%
20%
10%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
DIJ
1 - 0
AUX
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
AUX
1 - 0
CAB
71%
20%
10%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |