Lillestrom SK vs Fredrikstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
4º
16º
13º
37
2º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 63 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 56 |
2º
|
44.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 54 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 54 |
4º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 48 |
5º
|
42.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 45 |
6º
|
41.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 40 |
7º
|
32.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 37 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 36 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 36 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 36 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 34 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
21 | 31 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 30 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 30 |
15º
|
23.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 29 |
16º
|
31% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 9.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
48.5% | 89% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
18.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
33% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lillestrom SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2024 |
VKG
1 - 4
LSK
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
LSK
0 - 2
BBS
30%
24%
47%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
STR
3 - 4
LSK
43%
24%
33%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
S08
1 - 0
LSK
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
BOG
2 - 4
LSK
70%
17%
13%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Fredrikstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2024 |
FFK
4 - 1
STR
41%
27%
33%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
KFU
1 - 4
FFK
37%
27%
37%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
RAU
2 - 3
FFK
26%
23%
52%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ODD
0 - 2
FFK
46%
26%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
FFK
1 - 0
RBK
27%
23%
50%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +2 |