Lille II vs QRM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
LIL
0 - 2
CHA
53%
25%
23%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
LEN
3 - 0
LIL
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -2 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
ROY
0 - 1
LIL
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
PSG
0 - 3
LIL
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
LIL
2 - 0
VIL
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
QUE
1 - 0
DRA
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
MAN
0 - 1
QUE
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
QUE
2 - 3
PSG
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 0
QUE
19%
25%
57%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | -2 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
IVR
2 - 1
QUE
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |