Liga de Quito vs Fuerza Amarilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
18.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
EME
1 - 0
LIG
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
UCE
0 - 0
LIG
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
LIG
2 - 0
AUC
52%
26%
23%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
MUS
2 - 2
LIG
38%
29%
33%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
LIG
2 - 1
RIV
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Fuerza Amarilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
FAM
0 - 0
CUE
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 0
FAM
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
FAM
2 - 0
IVT
31%
25%
44%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
DEL
1 - 2
FAM
41%
29%
31%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
FAM
1 - 2
EME
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |