Libertad vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
LIB
2 - 1
AME
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
LIB
2 - 0
TAC
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
GUA
4 - 0
LIB
31%
26%
43%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
OLI
0 - 4
LIB
49%
24%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
CCP
1 - 0
LIB
35%
26%
39%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
JLM
3 - 0
GUA
33%
27%
40%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 1
OLI
40%
25%
36%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 1
AME
68%
18%
14%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
TAC
2 - 0
GUA
29%
28%
43%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
GSC
1 - 3
GUA
5%
12%
83%
|
78 | 23 | 55 | 0 |