Libertad vs 2 de Mayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
5º
1º
31
2º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
SPT
1 - 2
LIB
47%
25%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
LIB
2 - 1
LQE
48%
26%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
LIB
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
SPT
1 - 1
LIB
49%
23%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
LIB
1 - 2
TAC
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
2 de Mayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
2DE
2 - 1
SPT
28%
26%
46%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
LQE
2 - 0
2DE
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
2DE
32%
28%
40%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
2DE
1 - 1
AME
30%
26%
44%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
2DE
0 - 1
SAN
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |