Lebanon vs Australia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
71.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.6%
0-2
16.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
AUS
2 - 0
LBN
85%
11%
4%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
TJK
2 - 1
LBN
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
LBN
0 - 0
CHN
15%
21%
63%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
QAT
3 - 0
LBN
78%
15%
7%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2024 |
LBN
0 - 1
KSA
15%
22%
63%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
AUS
2 - 0
LBN
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
AUS
1 - 2
KOR
45%
24%
31%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
AUS
4 - 0
IDN
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
AUS
1 - 1
UZB
66%
19%
15%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
SYR
0 - 1
AUS
14%
20%
67%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |