León vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 1
LEO
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
AME
2 - 0
LEO
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
LEO
0 - 1
PUE
50%
25%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
AUR
2 - 0
LEO
23%
24%
52%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2022 |
LEO
1 - 1
QRO
70%
19%
11%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
TOL
2 - 4
ATS
50%
25%
26%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
TOL
0 - 1
JUA
69%
19%
13%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
TIG
3 - 0
TOL
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 1
CHI
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
TOL
2 - 2
MON
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |