Liga MX Finals Ap. Quarter-finals
Global 5-3
León vs Tijuana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
CAZ
2 - 3
LEO
42%
25%
33%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 1
CHI
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2016 |
PUE
2 - 2
LEO
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
LEO
3 - 1
MOR
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
VER
2 - 3
LEO
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
VER
2 - 1
TIJ
31%
27%
42%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
TIJ
0 - 1
TIG
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
TOL
0 - 1
TIJ
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
TIJ
2 - 0
JAG
64%
21%
16%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
AME
1 - 0
TIJ
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |