León vs Cruz Azul analysis

León Cruz Azul
83 ELO 81
7.5% Tilt -3.7%
415º General ELO ranking 394º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
53.1%
León
23.2%
Draw
23.8%
Cruz Azul

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
León
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.7%
Win probability
Cruz Azul
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
León
-8%
+14%
Cruz Azul

Points and table prediction

León
Their league position
Cruz Azul
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
10º
24
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Monterrey
40
40
100%
América
34
34
100%
Chivas Guadalajara
34
34
100%
Toluca
32
32
100%
Pachuca
31
31
100%
León
30
30
100%
Tigres UANL
25
25
100%
Cruz Azul
24
24
100%
Atlas Guadalajara
21
21
100%
Querétaro
10º
20
20
10º
0%
Puebla
11º
20
20
11º
0%
Atl. San Luis
12º
19
19
12º
0%
Santos Laguna
13º
19
19
13º
0%
Pumas UNAM
14º
18
18
14º
100%
Tijuana
15º
16
16
15º
100%
FC Juárez
16º
15
15
16º
100%
Necaxa
17º
14
14
17º
100%
Mazatlán
18º
7
7
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
León
Cruz Azul
Final Series
0% 0%
Play-offs
100% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%

ELO progression

León
Cruz Azul
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

León
León
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Apr. 2023
LEO
León
5 - 0
Violette
VIO
79%
15%
6%
82 62 20 0
02 Apr. 2023
AME
América
2 - 2
León
LEO
53%
24%
24%
82 83 1 0
25 Mar. 2023
MAZ
Mazatlán
1 - 2
León
LEO
27%
26%
48%
82 70 12 0
20 Mar. 2023
LEO
León
4 - 1
Santos Laguna
SAN
47%
24%
29%
81 81 0 +1
17 Mar. 2023
LEO
León
2 - 0
Tauro
TAU
71%
18%
11%
81 72 9 0

Matches

Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Apr. 2023
PAC
Pachuca
0 - 2
Cruz Azul
CAZ
56%
23%
21%
80 83 3 0
30 Mar. 2023
QRO
Querétaro
2 - 2
Cruz Azul
CAZ
24%
26%
50%
80 68 12 0
19 Mar. 2023
CAZ
Cruz Azul
1 - 0
Atl. San Luis
AUR
58%
24%
18%
80 72 8 0
12 Mar. 2023
CAZ
Cruz Azul
1 - 0
Pumas UNAM
PUM
50%
26%
25%
79 76 3 +1
04 Mar. 2023
MAZ
Mazatlán
3 - 1
Cruz Azul
CAZ
28%
27%
45%
80 70 10 -1
X