Lens vs Monaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
34.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
NIC
2 - 0
LEN
36%
27%
37%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
LEN
2 - 0
REI
62%
22%
17%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2023 |
LEN
2 - 1
SEV
35%
25%
40%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
MPL
0 - 0
LEN
33%
26%
41%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
LEN
3 - 2
LYO
49%
24%
27%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
TFC
1 - 2
MON
30%
24%
46%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
MON
0 - 1
LYO
54%
22%
23%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
REN
1 - 2
MON
45%
24%
31%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
MON
2 - 0
MPL
63%
20%
17%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
PSG
5 - 2
MON
63%
20%
17%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |