Lens vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
18.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1980 |
LIL
0 - 0
LEN
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1980 |
LEN
2 - 0
BAS
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1980 |
GIR
1 - 1
LEN
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1980 |
LEN
0 - 1
NIC
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1980 |
NÎM
3 - 1
LEN
56%
24%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1980 |
MET
5 - 2
PSG
47%
26%
28%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1980 |
BRE
1 - 3
MET
41%
26%
34%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1980 |
MET
0 - 0
MON
37%
27%
37%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1980 |
NAN
4 - 1
MET
76%
16%
9%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1980 |
STL
3 - 2
MET
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |