Lens vs Girondins Bordeaux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
52.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2010 |
AUX
0 - 0
LEN
50%
27%
24%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
LEN
1 - 1
GRE
66%
22%
13%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
ASS
1 - 4
LEN
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
LEN
1 - 1
VAL
52%
25%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
NIC
0 - 0
LEN
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Girondins Bordeaux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2010 |
GIR
2 - 0
SOC
69%
20%
11%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
NIC
1 - 1
GIR
19%
24%
57%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
GIR
1 - 0
TFC
66%
21%
13%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2010 |
VAL
2 - 0
GIR
18%
24%
58%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
LOR
1 - 0
GIR
20%
24%
56%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |