Lens vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
27.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
ASN
1 - 2
LEN
29%
29%
43%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2005 |
CLU
1 - 1
LEN
33%
29%
39%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
LEN
2 - 0
MAR
49%
26%
25%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2005 |
LEN
4 - 0
WOL
53%
25%
22%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2005 |
NAN
2 - 0
LEN
47%
27%
26%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
AUX
1 - 0
GIR
55%
24%
21%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
MON
0 - 2
AUX
67%
20%
13%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2005 |
STR
0 - 0
AUX
40%
27%
32%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2005 |
AUX
1 - 4
LYO
28%
24%
48%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2005 |
AUX
2 - 1
SED
76%
16%
8%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |