Leicester vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
NTT
3 - 2
LEI
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
REA
3 - 1
LEI
58%
23%
20%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2011 |
LEI
1 - 1
CRY
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
LEI
4 - 0
BUR
47%
25%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
MID
3 - 3
LEI
44%
27%
30%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
WAT
1 - 0
BAR
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
LEE
2 - 2
WAT
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2011 |
WAT
2 - 2
NOR
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
WAT
1 - 2
HUL
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
COV
2 - 0
WAT
29%
26%
45%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |