Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-2
Leganés vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
28.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leganés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
LEV
2 - 0
LEG
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
VCF
1 - 1
LEG
73%
18%
9%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
LEG
2 - 3
EIB
29%
27%
44%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
LEG
1 - 0
RAY
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
BET
1 - 0
LEG
71%
19%
11%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
GIR
2 - 1
RAY
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
RAY
1 - 1
ATH
38%
25%
37%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
RAY
1 - 2
GET
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
LEG
1 - 0
RAY
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
RAY
2 - 2
ESP
36%
26%
39%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +2 |