Lech Poznań vs Kauno Žalgiris analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
21%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
PGL
1 - 2
LPO
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
AZA
4 - 0
LPO
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
LPO
1 - 1
BAN
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
LPO
1 - 3
SLI
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
LPO
2 - 0
JAG
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Kauno Žalgiris
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
DAI
1 - 1
KZA
22%
25%
53%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
BAN
1 - 1
KZA
17%
24%
60%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
PAN
3 - 0
KZA
46%
27%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
KZA
3 - 2
FAS
46%
27%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2023 |
KZA
2 - 5
ZAL
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |