Lecce vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
40.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2020 |
UDI
1 - 2
LEC
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
BOL
3 - 2
LEC
64%
20%
16%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
LEC
3 - 1
BRE
45%
24%
31%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
GEN
2 - 1
LEC
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2020 |
LEC
1 - 3
FIO
27%
25%
48%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 2
ATL
13%
19%
68%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
BRE
1 - 2
PAR
35%
25%
40%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
PAR
2 - 1
NAP
16%
23%
62%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
PAR
2 - 3
SAM
32%
26%
42%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2020 |
ACM
3 - 1
PAR
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | -1 |