Lecce vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
NAP
1 - 0
LEC
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
LEC
3 - 2
CHI
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
LEC
1 - 3
GEN
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
CAG
3 - 2
LEC
53%
25%
23%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2010 |
UDI
2 - 1
LEC
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
BAR
1 - 1
PAL
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
ROM
1 - 0
BAR
77%
15%
8%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
SAM
3 - 0
BAR
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2010 |
BAR
4 - 1
LIV
52%
25%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
BAR
1 - 1
CES
60%
24%
16%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |