Lazio vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.3%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.8%
5.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1995 |
USF
0 - 1
LAZ
34%
27%
39%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1995 |
LAZ
1 - 0
SAM
62%
21%
18%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1995 |
LAZ
4 - 1
INT
61%
21%
19%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1995 |
JUV
0 - 3
LAZ
64%
21%
15%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1995 |
LAZ
0 - 0
CAG
69%
18%
14%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1995 |
BRE
1 - 2
USC
37%
28%
36%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1995 |
REG
2 - 0
BRE
52%
26%
23%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1995 |
BRE
1 - 2
NAP
25%
26%
49%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1995 |
SAM
2 - 1
BRE
79%
14%
8%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1995 |
BRE
1 - 2
PAR
25%
28%
47%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | 0 |