Lazio vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1934 |
BOL
0 - 0
LAZ
73%
16%
11%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1934 |
LAZ
0 - 2
JUV
33%
27%
41%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1934 |
LAZ
2 - 1
CAS
70%
17%
13%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1934 |
LIV
4 - 1
LAZ
49%
23%
29%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1934 |
USA
3 - 2
LAZ
54%
22%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1934 |
INT
1 - 0
BRE
80%
12%
8%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1934 |
BRE
3 - 2
TRI
58%
21%
20%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1934 |
BOL
4 - 1
BRE
72%
17%
12%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1934 |
BRE
1 - 2
JUV
32%
27%
41%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1934 |
PAD
2 - 1
BRE
44%
24%
32%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |