Lazio vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
11.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
INT
4 - 1
LAZ
55%
23%
22%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2014 |
LAZ
3 - 3
VER
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
LIV
0 - 2
LAZ
28%
26%
47%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
LAZ
3 - 3
TOR
63%
22%
16%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
NAP
4 - 2
LAZ
66%
20%
15%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
BOL
1 - 2
CAT
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
GEN
0 - 0
BOL
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
BOL
0 - 3
FIO
26%
27%
48%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
JUV
1 - 0
BOL
82%
13%
5%
|
76 | 93 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
BOL
1 - 1
PAR
31%
26%
43%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |