Lazio vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
8.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 0
LAZ
23%
27%
50%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
LAZ
0 - 3
JUV
35%
26%
39%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
EMP
2 - 1
LAZ
26%
25%
48%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2014 |
LAZ
4 - 2
CAG
68%
20%
13%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2014 |
VER
1 - 1
LAZ
35%
26%
39%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 3
VIC
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
AVE
0 - 0
VAR
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 1
PRG
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
CAT
2 - 1
VAR
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 1
MOD
38%
27%
36%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |