Lazio Sub 18 vs Lecce Sub 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
22.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
3º
12º
4º
32
7º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
58.5% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
4º
|
89.5% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 54 |
5º
|
93.5% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 52 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 51 |
8º
|
46% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 49 |
10º
|
85.5% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
30.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 9 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
HEL
1 - 0
LAZ
33%
22%
46%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
LAZ
3 - 1
FRO
86%
10%
5%
|
27 | 5 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CAG
2 - 1
LAZ
32%
22%
47%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
LAZ
2 - 0
FIO
42%
23%
35%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 2
LAZ
32%
22%
46%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
LEC
1 - 2
GEN
25%
21%
54%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2024 |
TOR
3 - 2
LEC
47%
21%
32%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2024 |
LEC
1 - 0
PAR
42%
23%
35%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2023 |
ASR
4 - 1
LEC
70%
16%
14%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2023 |
LEC
1 - 2
ATA
33%
22%
45%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |