Latina vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Latina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
LAT
1 - 3
BRI
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
SSC
0 - 3
LAT
36%
26%
38%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
LAT
1 - 1
CAS
65%
21%
14%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
MON
2 - 2
LAT
39%
28%
34%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
LAT
2 - 1
RPO
36%
28%
37%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 4
CAT
17%
23%
60%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 1
MON
28%
26%
46%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
RPO
1 - 1
CAS
67%
20%
13%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
LAT
1 - 1
CAS
65%
21%
14%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 0
BEN
8%
21%
71%
|
42 | 70 | 28 | +1 |