AEL Larisa vs Apollon Larisas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
10.3%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEL Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
LAR
1 - 1
GIA
20%
24%
56%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
DIA
1 - 2
LAR
14%
22%
64%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
APL
0 - 3
LAR
24%
25%
50%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
ARI
0 - 0
LAR
71%
19%
11%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
LAR
2 - 0
GIA
13%
23%
64%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | +2 |
Matches
Apollon Larisas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
APL
3 - 3
TRI
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
OLY
3 - 0
APL
16%
23%
61%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
APL
0 - 3
LAR
24%
25%
50%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2021 |
TRI
3 - 1
APL
19%
26%
55%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
APL
2 - 2
KAR
58%
24%
18%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |