Lamia vs Aris Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
53.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
6º
6º
6º
55
2º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
74 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
72 | 16 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 13 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 1 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lamia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
OLP
4 - 1
LAM
80%
14%
6%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
LAM
1 - 1
PAO
15%
22%
64%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
LAM
0 - 5
PAN
21%
27%
52%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
PAN
3 - 1
LAM
72%
19%
9%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
LAM
1 - 5
OLP
19%
26%
56%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 1
ARI
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
ARI
1 - 1
OLP
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ARI
1 - 2
AEK
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
AEK
2 - 0
ARI
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ARI
0 - 2
PAN
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |