Lagarto vs AD Carmópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1063%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
OSE
1 - 3
LAG
14%
23%
63%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
LAG
3 - 1
DOR
73%
18%
10%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
SER
0 - 0
LAG
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
LAG
2 - 1
ATG
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
LAG
1 - 1
FFC
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
AD Carmópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ADC
0 - 1
SER
13%
19%
68%
|
20 | 53 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ADC
0 - 0
OSE
33%
23%
44%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
AME
2 - 0
ADC
59%
20%
21%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CON
2 - 1
ADC
81%
13%
6%
|
20 | 61 | 41 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ADC
1 - 0
ATG
18%
19%
63%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | +2 |