La Luz FC vs Montevideo City Torque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
45%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
4º
14º
5º
14
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
14 | 51 |
1º
|
47.5% | |
|
1º
|
18 | 49 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 43 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 39 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
9 | 38 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 35 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 35 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 34 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 34 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 33 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 31 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 30 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 27 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 26 |
14º
|
30.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
7% | 73.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
46.5% | 25% |
|
Mid-table
|
46.5% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Luz FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 0
LUZ
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SUD
1 - 0
LUZ
24%
27%
49%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
LUZ
0 - 1
JUV
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
ORI
0 - 1
LUZ
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
LUZ
0 - 2
ALB
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Montevideo City Torque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 1
UMO
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 0
JUV
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TOR
0 - 0
CSC
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ATE
1 - 1
TOR
20%
26%
55%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
PEÑ
1 - 3
TOR
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |