La Luz FC vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
45.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
2º
8º
8º
10
4º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
14 | 14 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 12 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 11 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 9 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 9 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 8 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
4 | 4 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Luz FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
FEN
0 - 2
LUZ
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
LUZ
3 - 1
DAN
45%
28%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
NAC
3 - 0
LUZ
66%
20%
13%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
LUZ
2 - 2
RIV
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
LUZ
4 - 2
DEP
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2023 |
MIL
3 - 1
PEÑ
41%
26%
32%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
MWA
58%
25%
17%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
RAC
0 - 2
PEÑ
27%
27%
46%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
DYJ
4 - 1
PEÑ
51%
24%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
FEN
62%
24%
15%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | +1 |