Ventura County vs Cal FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
9.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ventura County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
DAY
1 - 1
LAG
49%
23%
28%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2014 |
LAG
2 - 1
CHA
30%
24%
46%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
ARI
1 - 1
LAG
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
LAG
3 - 1
ORA
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2014 |
LAG
0 - 3
SAC
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Cal FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
SES
5 - 0
CAL
89%
9%
2%
|
30 | 79 | 49 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2012 |
POR
0 - 1
CAL
86%
11%
4%
|
29 | 67 | 38 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
WIL
0 - 4
CAL
83%
12%
5%
|
26 | 59 | 33 | +3 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
KIT
1 - 3
CAL
78%
15%
7%
|
24 | 53 | 29 | +2 |