Cruz Villanovense U19 B vs Emérita Augusta U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
28.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+102%
+72%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
5º
14º
6º
32
9º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
81% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 83 |
2º
|
81% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
47 | 50 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
2.5% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
89.5% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
72.5% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
72.5% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
42 | 42 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
42 | 42 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
22 | 22 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
16 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Villanovense U19 B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 1
LCV
68%
17%
15%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
COR
1 - 1
LCV
30%
22%
48%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
LCV
1 - 1
CPA
41%
22%
37%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
DIO
1 - 0
LCV
82%
11%
7%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
LCV
1 - 0
CSU
50%
21%
29%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Emérita Augusta U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
EFE
0 - 0
MOR
38%
22%
40%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
EFE
1 - 1
OLI
31%
22%
48%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CPD
0 - 0
EFE
72%
16%
12%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
EFE
2 - 0
CAC
28%
22%
49%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
FDC
4 - 1
EFE
63%
18%
19%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | -1 |