Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 0-1
Ruch Chorzów vs Metalist Kharkiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
49.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ruch Chorzów
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
PGL
0 - 1
RCH
36%
27%
38%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
WIS
2 - 2
RCH
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
ESB
2 - 2
RCH
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
POD
3 - 0
RCH
33%
28%
39%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
RCH
0 - 0
ESB
37%
26%
38%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Metalist Kharkiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
MET
1 - 0
HOV
68%
20%
11%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
SHA
1 - 0
MET
49%
23%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
MET
1 - 2
DYN
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
ZOR
1 - 2
MET
34%
25%
41%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2014 |
UNI
3 - 3
MET
11%
19%
70%
|
84 | 48 | 36 | 0 |