Europa League 1/32
Global 6-6
Krylia Sovetov vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
37.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Krylia Sovetov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
KRS
0 - 1
TOR
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
ZEN
4 - 1
KRS
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2005 |
BAT
0 - 2
KRS
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
SYG
1 - 0
KRS
9%
19%
71%
|
79 | 37 | 42 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2005 |
KRS
2 - 0
BAT
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
AZA
7 - 0
RBC
76%
16%
8%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
VIT
0 - 5
AZA
32%
25%
44%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
UTR
1 - 2
AZA
35%
24%
41%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2005 |
AZA
3 - 0
SPA
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
AZA
1 - 3
RBC
76%
16%
8%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | -1 |