Legia Warszawa vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
56.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
LKS
1 - 1
WAR
26%
26%
48%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
KOR
2 - 1
WAR
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ZAL
0 - 3
WAR
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
ASV
2 - 1
WAR
85%
11%
4%
|
77 | 92 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
WAR
2 - 2
WAR
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
AZA
4 - 1
ALM
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
AZA
1 - 2
NEC
69%
18%
13%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
UTR
1 - 1
AZA
24%
25%
51%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
AZA
1 - 0
ZRI
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
AZA
3 - 0
VOL
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |