Legia Warszawa vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
64.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PGL
1 - 1
WAR
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
WAR
3 - 1
WLO
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
WAR
1 - 1
MID
41%
24%
35%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
MID
3 - 3
WAR
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
WAR
1 - 0
KOR
61%
21%
17%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ASV
3 - 1
CRY
55%
23%
22%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
LIV
3 - 0
ASV
74%
17%
10%
|
90 | 97 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
ASV
3 - 0
HIB
79%
14%
7%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BUR
1 - 3
ASV
34%
26%
40%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
HIB
0 - 5
ASV
18%
23%
60%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |