Kongsvinger vs Mjøndalen IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
8º
7º
22
9º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 56 |
2º
|
69.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 50 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 49 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 48 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 44 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 44 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 43 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 41 |
9º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 37 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 35 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 35 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 34 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 32 |
14º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
22 | 27 |
15º
|
82% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 20 |
16º
|
96% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
41.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
58.5% | 4.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 9.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 86% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kongsvinger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2024 |
VIF
0 - 2
KON
61%
21%
17%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
KON
1 - 1
RAU
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
STB
5 - 0
KON
43%
27%
31%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
KON
3 - 0
IKS
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
KJE
3 - 2
KON
19%
22%
59%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mjøndalen IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2024 |
MJO
2 - 1
ASA
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
BRY
1 - 0
MJO
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
MJO
1 - 1
ELP
43%
25%
32%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MJO
5 - 3
VIF
16%
23%
61%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
EID
1 - 0
MJO
42%
22%
36%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |